Insights

Macro Insights Weekly - Notes from IMF: Widening Tail risks

28 April 2025
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  • The IMF meetings in Washington DC had an air gloom-there were deep concerns about policy uncertainty and the future of rules based multilateralism. 
  • The IMF forecast only a modest slowdown in the global economy and the US.
  • We see wide tail risks around this central scenario.
  • Markets could slip up if trade negotiations and US fiscal stance falter.
  • China will be implementing economic support measures; it will also have to strategies around trade
  • For many countries keen to get deal done with the US, the road will be full of hurdles.

 

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