Insights

Macro Insights Weekly - Debt and rates

17 August 2026
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  • Public spending needs are rising across major economies, worsening debt paths. China, the Euro Area and US face persistent deficits; real-rate risks threaten debt sustainability.
  • China, Euro Area, India, Japan and the US have added USD29tn in debt since 2020.
  • Public spending pressures have widened across infrastructure, defence, energy and food security.
  • China faces fiscal strain from the property bust, ageing and weak consolidation prospects.
  • Euro Area and US debt burdens are high and rising.
  • India and Japan look steadier, but higher real rates could still weaken debt dynamics.

 

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